Trump leading Harris in every swing state – new poll | 3 Nov 2024 | Former President Donald Trump is leading Kamala Harris in every swing state by narrow but expanding margins, according to a new poll. The survey of likely American voters from AtlasIntel has revealed that the Republican nominee is favored to win in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania as the 2024 Presidential Election heads into its final days. Four of the states are polling outside the margin of error. In Arizona, Trump holds his widest margin — with a 52.3% to 45.8% lead over Harris. In Nevada, AtlasIntel projects the former president has a 51.2% to 46% edge over Harris.